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Market Commentary

  03/11/10 8:15:49 AM

Corn: The USDA Supply/Demand report pegged the 2009/20 US corn ending stocks at 1.799 billion bushels as compared with 1.719 billion last month and 1.673 last year.  Traders expected ending stocks near unchanged.  Exports were revised lower by 100 million bushels and other usage numbers left unchanged.  The average yield was revised down to 164.9 bu/ac which adjusted the production down to 13.131 billion bushels.  There was also a 100 million bushel drop in demand with the net result an 80 million bushel increase in ending stocks.  World production shot up 5.86 million tonnes led by Argentina which resulted in an overall increase in world ending stocks.
Soybeans: The USDA pegged the 2009/10 soybean ending stocks at 190 million bushels as compared with 210 million bushels last month and 138 million bushels last year. Exports were revised higher by 20 million bushels and crush up by 10 million.  The USDA pegged Brazil production at 67 million tonnes as compared with 57 million last year.  World ending stocks are now expeted to reach 60.67 million tonnes as compared with 59.73 million tonnes last month and 42.02 million tonnes last year.
Wheat: US ending wheat stocks for 2009/10 were raised 20 million bushels to 1.001 billion bushels from 981 million in February.  This came on a 20 million bushel reduction in projected food use in the US. Soft Red ending stocks were raised by another 4 million bushels to a burdensome 207 million.  World ending stocks were raised to 196.77 million tonnes from 195.86 million in Feb.


            03/11/10      
USDA Supply & Demand Report  
    Corn     Soybeans       Wheat    
   
Crop Year 08-09 09-10 09-10   08-09 09-10 09-10   08-09 09-10 09-10
  02/10 03/10   02/10 03/10   02/10 03/10
Planted Acres 86.0 86.5 86.5   75.7 77.5 77.5   63.2 59.1 59.1  
Harvest Acres 78.6 79.6 79.6   74.7 76.4 76.4   55.7 49.9 49.9
yield   153.9 165.2 164.9   39.7 44.0 44.0   44.9 44.4 44.4  
                           
Beginning Stocks 1,624 1,673 1,673   205 138 138   306 657 657  
Production 12,092 13,151 13,131   2,967 3,361 3,359   2,499 2,216 2,216  
Imports   14 10 10   13 8 15   127 110 110
Total Supply 13,729 14,834 14,814   3,185 3,507 3,512   2,932 2,988 2,988
Feed   5,246 5,550 5,550     258 170  170  
Industrial   4,953 5,565 5,565    1,662  1,720  1,730   927 940 940  
Ethanol 3,677 4,300 4,300      
Seed/other 30 30 30    101  177  172    75  72  72  
Domestic  Total 10,198 11,115 11,115     1,260 1,182 1,162  
Exports 1,858  2,000  1,900   1,283 1,400 1,420   1,015 825 825  
Total Use 12,056 13,115 13,015   3,047 3,297 3,322   2,275 2,007 1,987  
Ending  Stocks 1,673 1,719 1,799   138 210 190   657 981 1,001  

 
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